Lagrangian Galaxy for Crypto

Galaxy Zone Color Code

Golden BreakoutM > med | R < med
Deep AccumulationM < med | R < med
EuphoriaM > med | R > med
Value TrapM < med | R > med

Core Quantitative Methodology & Terminology

1. Cycle-Adjusted Gravity Index

Current deviation from the cycle TWAP is ranked against each asset's own cycle extremes. This keeps the absolute gravity score asset-specific rather than peer-relative.

2. Composite Risk Score

Raw gravity is scaled by logarithmic market dominance, with a base floor to avoid treating structurally weak assets as low risk only because their gravity is depressed.

3. Momentum Quality

The 90-day return is still shown as a raw percentage, but bubble sizing also uses volatility-adjusted momentum, trend quality, and directional consistency.

4. Galaxy Status Score

Status = 36% zone heat + 22% relative momentum + 18% relative gravity + 14% momentum quality + 10% 90-day activity. Ranges: <30 Deep Accumulation, 30-45 Accumulation Bias, 45-60 Balanced Rotation, 60-75 Heated Rotation, 75+ Euphoria Risk.

5. Gem Candidate Score

Gem = 32% risk-adjusted momentum rank + 24% momentum quality + 20% relative momentum + 14% lower-risk rank + 10% impact rank. This picks one candidate inside the active galaxy.

6. Average Gravity Phase

Average gravity gives the phase read: <20 Accumulation, 20-40 Breakout, 40-60 Euphoria, 60+ Value Trap.

7. Galaxy Orbit Radius

Zone assignment sets the orbit lane. Composite risk, impact, and momentum quality adjust the local position inside that lane while preserving the Gold, Blue, Purple, Red ordering.

Relative Matrix Assignment

Golden Breakout

Momentum is above the peer median while composite risk is below the peer median. This is the clean rotation lane.

Deep Accumulation

Momentum and risk are both below the peer median. This is the base-building lane, not an automatic buy signal.

Euphoria

Momentum is above median, but risk is also above median. This is the markup lane where mean-reversion risk starts to matter.

Value Trap

Momentum is below median while risk is above median. This is the stagnation lane where cheapness can be misleading.