QQQ SARIMAX Forecast: Bear / Base / Bull Scenario Ladder

Current Spot

$678.80

Base Path by Jan 31, 2027

$740.37

Bear 68%

$626.80

Bull 68%

$877.74

68% Range Width

33.9%

Raw Forecast Scenario Matrix

Date Bear 99.7% Bear 95% Bear 68% Base Bull 68% Bull 95% Bull 99.7%
2026-08-09 $624.54 $641.31 $657.86 $675.41 $693.49 $711.57 $731.00
2026-08-16 $601.34 $626.30 $651.31 $678.26 $706.48 $735.15 $766.49
2026-08-23 $582.23 $613.03 $644.28 $678.36 $714.48 $751.65 $792.80
2026-08-30 $562.71 $597.80 $633.75 $673.36 $715.78 $759.88 $809.22
2026-09-06 $549.96 $588.82 $628.99 $673.62 $721.87 $772.48 $829.62
2026-09-13 $541.44 $583.76 $627.85 $677.23 $731.04 $787.96 $852.76
2026-09-20 $537.07 $582.79 $630.75 $684.87 $744.30 $807.62 $880.29
2026-09-27 $533.25 $582.09 $633.68 $692.28 $757.07 $826.61 $907.00
2026-10-04 $527.49 $578.98 $633.71 $696.27 $765.89 $841.11 $928.64
2026-10-11 $524.82 $579.10 $637.11 $703.83 $778.54 $859.77 $954.91
2026-10-18 $517.64 $573.96 $634.48 $704.47 $783.31 $869.52 $971.12
2026-10-25 $510.66 $568.83 $631.68 $704.74 $787.50 $878.49 $986.36
2026-11-01 $503.45 $563.42 $628.54 $704.65 $791.34 $887.20 $1,001.50
2026-11-08 $499.19 $561.21 $628.90 $708.43 $799.51 $900.79 $1,022.26
2026-11-15 $492.88 $556.51 $626.30 $708.71 $803.58 $909.63 $1,037.52
2026-11-22 $483.29 $547.89 $619.07 $703.50 $801.18 $910.91 $1,043.93
2026-11-29 $477.63 $543.64 $616.71 $703.79 $805.01 $919.29 $1,058.55
2026-12-06 $474.45 $542.17 $617.45 $707.58 $812.85 $932.30 $1,078.58
2026-12-13 $474.12 $543.92 $621.87 $715.61 $825.63 $951.07 $1,105.49
2026-12-20 $473.73 $545.55 $626.09 $723.39 $838.12 $969.55 $1,132.15
2026-12-27 $471.22 $544.63 $627.30 $727.59 $846.37 $983.05 $1,152.97
2027-01-03 $471.10 $546.48 $631.70 $735.53 $859.05 $1,001.85 $1,180.22
2027-01-10 $466.70 $543.20 $630.02 $736.21 $863.06 $1,010.34 $1,195.11
2027-01-17 $462.23 $539.75 $628.06 $736.49 $866.55 $1,018.17 $1,209.23
2027-01-24 $457.42 $535.94 $625.73 $736.39 $869.69 $1,025.75 $1,223.28
2027-01-31 $455.09 $535.03 $626.80 $740.37 $877.74 $1,039.26 $1,244.66

SARIMAX Forecasting Methodology

The forecast engine resamples daily prices into weekly structure, stabilizes variance through Box-Cox transformation, fits a SARIMAX trend model, then converts the forecast and confidence intervals back into price space. The log-scale y-axis uses a fixed clean tick ladder so the chart reads consistently across low-priced and high-priced equities.

The 68% band is the primary operating range; the 95% and 99.7% bands are wider stress envelopes for unusually strong regime outcomes.