1. Tech Cycle Gravity Index (G)
Motivation: Measure market structure strictly against the modern AI & Quantum hardware commercialization epoch.
Logic: An asset's current deviation from its Cycle TWAP (since Jan 1, 2023) is measured purely against its own corporate historical maximum and minimum stretch in this cycle. Equilibrium sits at 50.
G = [ (Δcurrent - Δmin) / (Δmax - Δmin) ] × 100
2. Composite Sector Risk Score (Y-Axis)
Motivation: Pure gravity is noisy. An early-stage quantum pure-play (IONQ) resting at a Gravity of 80 carries far higher structural risk than a mega-cap ETF anchor (QQQ) at 80.
Logic: Systemic equity risk is scaled by dividing Raw Gravity by a Corporate Dominance Multiplier. SPY/QQQ maintain a 1.0x baseline, while micro-caps receive a division penalty bounded at 0.15.
Risk = max(G, 10.0) ÷ Dominance
3. Volumetric Impact Sizing (Bubble Mass)
Motivation: Visually isolate institutional capital rotation into pure-play quantum hardware.
Logic: Decoupled from risk equations, physical sizing multiplies current Logarithmic Volume, Absolute 90D Equity Momentum, and Gravity weighting.
Size = log10(Vol30D) × √(|Ret90D| + 1) × Gweight
Cross-Sectional Matrix Assignment (Relative Tech Quadrants)
Logic: Quadrants are strictly relative to the sector median momentum and risk across the tracked basket.
Golden Breakout: Momentum > Sector Median & Risk < Median. Historically undervalued corporate cost basis currently absorbing institutional flow.
Euphoria (Red): Momentum > Median & Risk > Median. Leading sector expansion, but standard-deviation valuation channels are overextended.
Deep Accumulation: Momentum < Median & Risk < Median. Low statistical risk floor representing prime long-term hardware accumulation windows.
Value Trap (Purple): Momentum < Median & Risk > Median. Lagging technical velocity coupled with inflated risk premiums.